Lake Martin hits new December peak for residential sales

lake martin residenial sales

By: Bryan Davis

Click here to view or print the entire monthly report compliments of the ACRE Corporate Cabinet.

Sales: Lake Martin area* residential sales totaled 43 units during December, an increase of 16 percent from the same period last year. This is by far the best month of December for home sales at Lake Martin over the past decade. Year-to-date sales through December are up 26 percent above 2014. Two more resources to review: Quarterly Report and Annual Report

For all of Lake Martin’s area housing data, click here.

Sales at Lake Martin reached a new December peak of 43 during 2015.
Sales at Lake Martin reached a new December peak of 43 during 2015.

Forecast: December sales were 48 percent or 14 units above our monthly forecast. Alabama Center for Real Estate’s (ACRE) year-to-date sales forecast through December projected 495 closed transactions while the actual sales were 600 units, a rise of 21 percent.

Supply: The Lake Martin area housing inventory in December was 342 units, a decrease of 24 percent from December 2014 and 45 percent below (this is good news) the December peak in 2008 (621 units). In addition, December inventory decreased by 17 percent from the prior month. This direction is consistent with historical data indicating that December inventory on average (2010-14) decreases from November by 10.5 percent. There were 8 months of housing supply in December (6 months considered equilibrium in December NSA), a favorable decrease of 35 percent from last December’s 12.2 months of supply.

Demand: Residential sales increased 34 percent from the prior month. This direction is consistent with seasonal patterns and historical data indicating December sales on average (2010-14) increase by 26.2 percent from November.

Pricing: The Lake Martin area median sales price in December was $250,000, an increase of 31.6 percent from December 2014 but a 9.1 percent decrease compared to the prior month. Historical data indicate that the December median sales price (2010-14) typically increases 17 percent from November. Pricing can and will fluctuate from month to month due to changing composition of actual sales (lakefront vs. non-lakefront) and the sample size of data (closed transactions) being subject to seasonal buying patterns. A broader lens as to pricing trends is appropriate and we highly recommend contacting a local real estate professional for additional market pricing information.

Lake Martin Area residential sales up 13 percent over last August

lake martin sales up

By: Alabama Center for Real Estate

Sales: Lake Martin Area* residential sales totaled 61 units in August, an increase in sales growth of 13 percent from the same period last year. Year-to-date sales through August are up 36.7 percent above 2014.

Two more resources to review market: Quarterly Report and Annual Report

Forecast: August sales were 10 percent or six units above of our monthly forecast. ACRE’s year-to-date sales forecast through August projected 342 closed transactions while the actual sales were 432 units, a cumulative variance of 26.3 percent.

Lake Martin Area sales in August up 13 percent from last year. YTD sales up 36.7 percent. Housing inventory favorably down 39.3 percent from August 2008 peak. Infograph courtesy of ACRE. All rights reserved.

Supply: The Lake Martin Area housing inventory in August was 498 units, a decrease of 18.9 percent from August 2014 and 39.3 percent below(this is good news) the month of August peak in 2008 (820 units). In addition, August inventory decreased by 2.5 percent from the prior month. This direction is right in line with historical data indicating that August inventory on average (’10-’14) increases from the month of July by 2.5 percent. There were 8.2 months of housing supply in August (6.0+/- months considered equilibrium in August NSA), a favorable decrease of 28.2 percent from last August’s 11.4 months of supply.

Demand:  Residential sales slipped 15.3 percent from the prior month. This direction contrasts with seasonal patterns and historical data indicating August sales on average (’10-’14) increase by 20.5 percent from the month of July.

Pricing: The Lake Martin Area median sales price in August was $290,000, a decrease of 17.6 percent from August 2014 but a 16 percent increase compared to the prior month. Historical data indicates that the August median sales price (’10-’14) typically decreases 19.4 percent from the month of July. Pricing can and will fluctuate from month-to-month due to changing composition of actual sales (lakefront vs non-lakefront) and the sample size of data (closed transactions) being subject to seasonal buying patterns. A broader lens as to pricing trends is appropriate and we highly recommend contacting a local real estate professional for additional market pricing information.

Industry Perspective: “Home sales have trended up and inventories are lean, supporting strong home price appreciation. That price growth, driven by laggard supply response, helps build equity for existing owners but is a headwind for first-time buyers,” said Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae.”Given significant uncertainties from Greece and China, continued global monetary easing, and an expected slow pace of monetary tightening by the Fed, we anticipate mortgage rates to rise only gradually through next year, which should continue to help support mortgage demand.” For full report, go HERE.

 

 

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